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By: Vincenzo Vedda
In our monthly Multi-Asset update we describe the translation of our CIO View into the CIO View model portfolio.
Not so long ago, Eurozone inflation was almost too dull to mention. Nowadays, the opposite risk looms: rising factory-price expectations deserve attention – but not panic.
U.S. productivity is improving. In aggregate economic data, however, the AI dividend remains easier to imagine than to measure.
Critical minerals are increasingly playing a key role in the development of electromobility, renewable energy and digitalization – and thus in shaping future developments.
Rising energy prices weigh on growth and inflation, while AI-driven investment continues to support selected segments and drive increasing divergence across markets.
Substantial upward revisions in capex reflect the AI infrastructure boom – early signs of increasing monetization are becoming visible
Europe’s volatile jet-fuel buffers are less a story about aviation and more a warning of how a prolonged Hormuz shock could expose wider supply-chain fragilities.
By: Sebastian Kahlfeld
Markets are pricing more near-term inflation risk, but longer-term expectations remain comparatively calm.
Investing in a Fog of War and Haze of AI Transition
Correlations in times of energy stress
When it comes to oil, the price spikes grab attention. Their more lasting effect may be demand that disappears - and does not fully return.
How the precious metal behaves relative to the S&P 500 across different market phases.
When prices jump, households adjust fast. Their expectations do not.