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Markets can reprice JGBs overnight, but the real fault line between volatility and vulnerability is when the effective interest rate surpasses growth
A look at the risks that the U.S. debt trajectory could become dynamically unstable
At least in terms of its demographic outlook, the U.S. is already well on its way to becoming far less exceptional than it was just a few years ago.
Europe’s volatile jet-fuel buffers are less a story about aviation and more a warning of how a prolonged Hormuz shock could expose wider supply-chain fragilities.
Correlations in times of energy stress
Taking a closer look at what’s happening in BDCs
Despite recognizable parallels with developments under the 1985 Plaza Accord, concerns about a very rapid and excessive decline in the U.S. dollar seem exaggerated.
Why UK yields are now driven more by global rates than domestic politics
Normalization in leisure & hospitality – a signal for the broader U.S. labor market?
A widening gap between official data and worker sentiment points to the power of technological anxiety.
Have small caps seen a weak decade, or were large caps simply off the charts?
Whether or not there will be a reversal in the trend depends on the development of long-term inflation and whether the Federal Reserve manages to maintain its credibility
Years of overly loose fiscal policy have sent Japanese bond yields soaring. Increased volatility is here to stay.
Positioning portfolios for the next phase of market dispersion.
Increasingly, shrinking Eurozone spreads say less about European virtues and more about anxieties in many of the world’s other bond markets.
