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Europe’s volatile jet-fuel buffers are less a story about aviation and more a warning of how a prolonged Hormuz shock could expose wider supply-chain fragilities.
Markets are pricing more near-term inflation risk, but longer-term expectations remain comparatively calm.
Correlations in times of energy stress
When it comes to oil, the price spikes grab attention. Their more lasting effect may be demand that disappears - and does not fully return.
How the precious metal behaves relative to the S&P 500 across different market phases.
When prices jump, households adjust fast. Their expectations do not.
Taking a closer look at what’s happening in BDCs
Decades of efficiency and electrification have defanged a once-feared macro risk — even as Middle East tensions keep markets jumpy.
The Australian dollar currently has a wide range of monetary, economic and political factors on its side
Even a quieter, less interventionist Fed would only shrink its footprint very cautiously. Partly this reflects changes to the financial plumbing in recent decades.
A physically tight market is keeping prices close to their record highs.
The latest sell off was a dramatic reminder that precious metals can move in bursts. Inflation adjusted prices are still at levels rarely seen in modern history.
Markets can reprice JGBs overnight, but the real fault line between volatility and vulnerability is when the effective interest rate surpasses growth
Increasingly, shrinking Eurozone spreads say less about European virtues and more about anxieties in many of the world’s other bond markets.
Have small caps seen a weak decade, or were large caps simply off the charts?
