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Revisiting R^: How does the fiscal deficit affect the neutral Fed Funds rate?
A look at the risks that the U.S. debt trajectory could become dynamically unstable
Foreign investors reduced their holdings of U.S. assets in April, but only to a very small extent
By: Lukas Ahnert, Murray Birt, Frederike Bauer, Jay Joshi
Investing in a ‘brave’ new world
By: Vincenzo Vedda
In our monthly Multi-Asset update we describe the translation of our CIO View into the CIO View model portfolio.
Competition for raw materials vital for the energy transition is intensifying
We believe that fears of JGB weakness spreading to other government bonds appear to be exaggerated.
Cautiously optimistic: Our forecasts for the next 12 months
Foreign investors rethink US assets, but the S&P 500 is global and digital
They have a balanced risk/return profile and look attractive compared to U.S. Treasuries
Despite some clouds gathering, we remain optimistic about Spain’s economic prospects. Investment in machinery and equipment has been especially encouraging in Q1 2025.
Is Asia Self-sufficient in Times of Deglobalization?
By: Jason Chen, Dirk Schlüter, Ajay Chaurasia
Despite recent signs of de-escalation, trade uncertainty and expected higher prices appear set to take a toll on the U.S. economy.
Uncertainty and higher prices expected to take a toll on the economy.
