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Decades of efficiency and electrification have defanged a once-feared macro risk — even as Middle East tensions keep markets jumpy.
Foreign investors reduced their holdings of U.S. assets in April, but only to a very small extent
Rising energy prices weigh on growth and inflation, while AI-driven investment continues to support selected segments and drive increasing divergence across markets.
Benign, for now: Our forecasts for the next 12 months
Past El Niño episodes show agricultural prices can react late and unevenly. Nevertheless, the current risks need to be taken seriously.
Not so long ago, Eurozone inflation was almost too dull to mention. Nowadays, the opposite risk looms: rising factory-price expectations deserve attention – but not panic.
When it comes to oil, the price spikes grab attention. Their more lasting effect may be demand that disappears - and does not fully return.
By: Vincenzo Vedda
How risk, valuation and liquidity are evolving in credit markets
Brazil’s central bank looks set to remain hawkish. Structural reforms following next year’s elections could help unlock the country’s potential.
Does the historically high gold-oil ratio once again indicate a major macro shift?
How the precious metal behaves relative to the S&P 500 across different market phases.
69% capacity trails decade average as post-Russian supply model prioritizes flexibility over early stockpiling
Although Germany’s residential construction is weak, other construction sectors, such as civil engineering and specialised construction remain robust
It is still early days when it comes to judging the likelihood of success in Europe’s drive towards strategic autonomy. But there are potential promising trends, especially on energy infrastructure.
