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Investing in a Fog of War and Haze of AI Transition
Time to Turn Back?: Return to Growth or seek US equity alternatives?
A.I. is growing quickly and is very hungry: S&P firms provide the essentials
Not your father’s stagflation: It’s a virtual reality
Revisiting R^: How does the fiscal deficit affect the neutral Fed Funds rate?
Foreign investors rethink US assets, but the S&P 500 is global and digital
New world order for trade: What Next?
Altitude Sickness: Breathe, go slowly, stick to the big markers
New Year’s resolutions vs. classic fundamentals: Momentum vs. Valuations
U.S. productivity is improving. In aggregate economic data, however, the AI dividend remains easier to imagine than to measure.
The AI universe continues to expand rapidly, and the list of beneficiaries is long. At the same time, potential risks are emerging, reinforcing our conviction in selective stock picking.
We believe that artificial intelligence will continue to drive the markets in 2026 – both positively and negatively. Its possibilities remain exciting. But investors will become more selective.
Despite recognizable parallels with developments under the 1985 Plaza Accord, concerns about a very rapid and excessive decline in the U.S. dollar seem exaggerated.
The Australian dollar currently has a wide range of monetary, economic and political factors on its side
The latest sell off was a dramatic reminder that precious metals can move in bursts. Inflation adjusted prices are still at levels rarely seen in modern history.
