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Economists expect gradual cuts. Markets see a less comfortable possibility: resilient growth and persistent inflation could force the Fed to raise rates again.
A numerator vs. denominator race at beta, alpha has no style
A changing gas market may be making gas storage levels a less reliable guide to winter risks. Still, there are good reasons to worry about upcoming heating bills.
By: Ivy-sw Ng, Tommy Law
Status Quo of Artificial Intelligence (AI) Adoption in Asia
Rising food prices hit emerging-market consumers hard, but shared commodity shocks could have unforeseen implications for inflation around the globe.
More of Japan's capital is being put to work abroad, with lasting consequences for the yen
The challenge is no longer just how much debt the U.S. has, but how expensive it is becoming to finance it
U.S. productivity is rising, but workers’ pay is not keeping up with inflation. That makes the latest data more difficult to read.
By: Vincenzo Vedda
In our monthly Multi-Asset update we describe the translation of our CIO View into the CIO View model portfolio.
Our CROCI analysis highlights the importance of valuation assumptions
By: Dr Stefan Hoops, Vincenzo Vedda
Recent growth figures, leading indicators and financial market signals suggest that Germany's economy is performing better than prevailing sentiment implies.
Mother of all profit cycles vs. secular climb in yields
The shift from guidance to judgment.
Technology does not simply destroy work. Early indications are that US labor demand is shifting toward jobs where productivity—and automation—advance more slowly.
The real yen is trading close to historic lows. The reason lies less in interest-rate differentials than in three decades of persistent capital outflows.
