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From Singapore to New York, the hidden affordability story lies in spending power, not housing costs.
France’s fiscal problems are serious, but stronger external balances and institutional safeguards make a repeat of the earlier euro crisis unlikely.
France has a spending problem for which its political parties have so far offered no solutions. We do not see a euro crisis in this; the markets could even take some of the work off the ECB’s hands.
The monthly Investment Traffic Lights provide a detailed market analysis and our view on developments in the main asset classes.
Starting yields can cushion inflation losses or leave investors dangerously exposed.
By: Vincenzo Vedda
In our monthly Multi-Asset update we describe the translation of our CIO View into the CIO View model portfolio.
The Hormuz crisis has revealed the limitations of traditional energy statistics, telling us much about where energy comes from, but little about how it is used.
European earnings have accelerated. Whether that warrants a lasting rerating will depend on how broadly and durably profits continue to grow.
By: Sebastian Kahlfeld
The investment environment across emerging markets remains dominated by a limited number of global themes, most notably artificial intelligence infrastructure investment and defense spending.
By: Hansjoerg Pack
Looking into the third quarter, the key market debate has shifted away from geopolitics and back towards artificial intelligence and the sustainability of the current technology cycle.
The Fed raises rates by 25 basis points to reinforce its inflation-fighting credibility
Economists expect gradual cuts. Markets see a less comfortable possibility: resilient growth and persistent inflation could force the Fed to raise rates again.
Markets don't move on headlines alone. Structural shifts are changing Europe's investment story.
A numerator vs. denominator race at beta, alpha has no style
A changing gas market may be making gas storage levels a less reliable guide to winter risks. Still, there are good reasons to worry about upcoming heating bills.
