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Markets can reprice JGBs overnight, but the real fault line between volatility and vulnerability is when the effective interest rate surpasses growth
A look at the risks that the U.S. debt trajectory could become dynamically unstable
At least in terms of its demographic outlook, the U.S. is already well on its way to becoming far less exceptional than it was just a few years ago.
So far, Trump’s tariff threats are mainly harming sentiment. That could change quite quickly, in ways that would be hard to undo or mitigate.
The bond market sees the convergence of Chinese and Japanese yields as a warning of potential 'Japanization' in China
Despite recognizable parallels with developments under the 1985 Plaza Accord, concerns about a very rapid and excessive decline in the U.S. dollar seem exaggerated.
By: Björn Jesch
Strong performance of the "Magnificent Seven" has pushed value stocks into the background - wrongly so?
A widening gap between official data and worker sentiment points to the power of technological anxiety.
Have small caps seen a weak decade, or were large caps simply off the charts?
Whether or not there will be a reversal in the trend depends on the development of long-term inflation and whether the Federal Reserve manages to maintain its credibility
Yields on U.K. sovereign bonds have surged to levels not seen since the Great Financial Crisis and the Sterling too is struggling
Years of overly loose fiscal policy have sent Japanese bond yields soaring. Increased volatility is here to stay.
The imposed tariffs by the Trump administration turned out significantly higher than initially expected
Less uncertainty at the price of higher tariffs
Increasingly, shrinking Eurozone spreads say less about European virtues and more about anxieties in many of the world’s other bond markets.
