CIO Archive

Results: 60 Matches

19-Apr-24 Europe

European Transformation: Are we there yet?

Assessing progress towards reaching 2030 targets is essential for Europe’s future success. It also highlights the need for more investments and further policy action.

Europe, ESG
12-Apr-24 Industrials

Industrial production isn’t the whole story

German manufacturing is not doing as badly as it may seem

Industrials, Europe
05-Apr-24 Equities

Is the Swiss franc about to weaken at last?

Since the financial crisis the Swiss currency has trended relentlessly higher against the euro. But recently the first signs of weakness have appeared

Europe, Currencies
22-Mar-24 Equities

India’s time to shine?

The recent gyrations of Indian small caps should not detract from the country’s equities longer term appeal.

Americas
15-Mar-24 Currencies

Strong performance for crypto currencies

Introduction of Bitcoin ETFs has given the segment a boost

Americas
08-Mar-24 Americas

When not to fuss over wage growth

Recent strong wage growth among lowly paid, young job switchers may reflect them moving into potentially more productive jobs. Such gains need not be inflationary.

Americas
01-Mar-24 Energy

Europe has overcome its energy crisis

More secure supply brings gas prices back down

Eurozone, Europe, Energy
23-Feb-24 Fixed Income

Italian government bonds beat Bunds

The BTP/Bund spread falls impressively

Fixed Income
16-Feb-24 Elections

Tales of the unexpected

Donald Trump’s electoral performance in both 2016 and 2020 suggests that returning to the White House is likely to prove an uphill struggle.

Elections
09-Feb-24 Bonds

Covered bonds start the year strong

In our view, German covered bonds offer an attractive yield pick-up over German government bonds

Americas, Bonds, Europe
02-Feb-24 Americas

U.S. economic growth and fiscal balances

Amidst the excitement in markets about the strong growth performance of the U.S. economy, some nuance seems in order.

Americas
25-Jan-24 Fixed Income

Danger of rising yields if Trump is re-elected?

Should investors in U.S. government bonds be worried about what a Trump election win would mean for their asset class? We see good reasons to expect yields to rise.

Americas
19-Jan-24 ESG

Making sense of commodity price forecasts

Geopolitical risk adds yet another layer of complexity to understanding commodity prices. In terms of forecast accuracy, though, it’s all about the vol.

ESG
12-Jan-24 Europe

Europe’s inflation divergence

Recent shocks show that the Euro area is a very heterogenous collection of still largely national economies. Progress is underway, but inflation has not been defeated yet.

Europe, Inflation
15-Dec-23 Consumer discretionary

The German consumer to the rescue

Drivers for German growth are likely to remain scarce in 2024. The notoriously stingy German consumer might help out.

Consumer discretionary
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