CIO Archive

Results: 277 Matches

25-Feb-24 Blog

Frank Kelly’s Geopolitical Week Ahead | February 25, 2024

By: Francis (Frank) J. Kelly

This coming week, there will be a keen global focus on the U.S. House of Representatives for two big reasons – March 1 government shutdown deadline and discussion on aid for Ukraine, Israel and Taiwan.

23-Feb-24 Fixed Income

Italian government bonds beat Bunds

The BTP/Bund spread falls impressively

Fixed Income
22-Feb-24 Macro

India – a poorly kept secret

By: Björn Jesch

India's demographic advantages are well known. The government's capex offensive, expanding exports and the bond market’s opening are now also generating momentum for stock markets.

Macro, Asia & Pacific, Emerging Markets
16-Feb-24 Elections

Tales of the unexpected

Donald Trump’s electoral performance in both 2016 and 2020 suggests that returning to the White House is likely to prove an uphill struggle.

12-Feb-24 Blog

Frank Kelly’s Geopolitical Week Ahead | February 12, 2024

By: Francis (Frank) J. Kelly

Jordanian King Abdullah will meet with President Biden, Indonesia holds presidential elections, Munich Security Conference is to be held and big U.S. regulatory events.

09-Feb-24 Bonds

Covered bonds start the year strong

In our view, German covered bonds offer an attractive yield pick-up over German government bonds

Americas, Bonds, Europe
05-Feb-24 Blog

Frank Kelly’s Geopolitical Week Ahead | February 05, 2024

By: Francis (Frank) J. Kelly

As tensions and military action in Yemen and the South Sea continue to escalate, U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken returns to the region.

02-Feb-24 Alternatives

Investment Traffic Lights

By: Björn Jesch

Our monthly market analysis and positioning

Alternatives, Equities, Multi Asset, Fixed Income, Macro
02-Feb-24 Americas

U.S. economic growth and fiscal balances

Amidst the excitement in markets about the strong growth performance of the U.S. economy, some nuance seems in order.

25-Jan-24 Fixed Income

Danger of rising yields if Trump is re-elected?

Should investors in U.S. government bonds be worried about what a Trump election win would mean for their asset class? We see good reasons to expect yields to rise.

19-Jan-24 ESG

Making sense of commodity price forecasts

Geopolitical risk adds yet another layer of complexity to understanding commodity prices. In terms of forecast accuracy, though, it’s all about the vol.

17-Jan-24 Macro

U.S. Economic Outlook

By: Christian Scherrmann

Next stop lower rates? Not so fast, hopefully!

16-Jan-24 Americas

Americas CIO View

By: David Bianco

Equity wealth and inflation: What would Milton Friedman say?

12-Jan-24 Europe

Europe’s inflation divergence

Recent shocks show that the Euro area is a very heterogenous collection of still largely national economies. Progress is underway, but inflation has not been defeated yet.

Europe, Inflation
10-Jan-24 Inflation

Reflation in Japan

By: Björn Jesch

Inflation, Asia & Pacific
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