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Not so long ago, Eurozone inflation was almost too dull to mention. Nowadays, the opposite risk looms: rising factory-price expectations deserve attention – but not panic.
U.S. productivity is improving. In aggregate economic data, however, the AI dividend remains easier to imagine than to measure.
Rising energy prices weigh on growth and inflation, while AI-driven investment continues to support selected segments and drive increasing divergence across markets.
Substantial upward revisions in capex reflect the AI infrastructure boom – early signs of increasing monetization are becoming visible
Europe’s volatile jet-fuel buffers are less a story about aviation and more a warning of how a prolonged Hormuz shock could expose wider supply-chain fragilities.
Markets are pricing more near-term inflation risk, but longer-term expectations remain comparatively calm.
Correlations in times of energy stress
When it comes to oil, the price spikes grab attention. Their more lasting effect may be demand that disappears - and does not fully return.
How the precious metal behaves relative to the S&P 500 across different market phases
When prices jump, households adjust fast. Their expectations do not.
Taking a closer look at what’s happening in BDCs
Decades of efficiency and electrification have defanged a once-feared macro risk — even as Middle East tensions keep markets jumpy.
The Australian dollar currently has a wide range of monetary, economic and political factors on its side
Even a quieter, less interventionist Fed would only shrink its footprint very cautiously. Partly this reflects changes to the financial plumbing in recent decades.
A physically tight market is keeping prices close to their record highs.