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The Los Angeles County wildfires have become the region's worst fire disaster in history. What will the impacts be across residential and commercial properties.
Los Angeles wildfires are on track to rank among the costliest fire disasters in U.S. history
The Los Angeles County wildfires have become the region's worst fire disaster in history with new damage and economic loss estimates reaching between $250 billion and $275 billion, according to forecasting firm AccuWeather. The wildfires, including those in the in the neighborhoods of Pacific Palisades and Altadena, have caused officials to evacuate some 88,000 people from their homes, with another 84,800 under evacuation warnings due to fire risk.[1]
Impacts Across Commercial Properties
Fueled by high winds and dry conditions, roughly 12 million square feet of commercial real estate is at risk of damage from the ongoing wildfires, a figure that represents less than 1% of the total business inventory in Los Angeles but isn't without wide-reaching implications for the nation's most populous county.[2]
According to CoStar analysis, the commercial properties at risk — concentrated in the evacuation zones of the Palisades and Eaton fires — include some 7,400 multifamily units, seven million square feet of office space, and three million square feet of retail space. The damages are likely to translate into renewed demand for commercial real estate in other portions of the Los Angeles Basin, especially multifamily, as displaced residents seek immediate space. Entering 2025, multifamily vacancy rates in submarkets impacted by the fires ranged from 4.1% to 5.7%, suggesting many displaced households may have to look outside their communities for rentals.[3]
The fires will likely cause multifamily occupancy and rents to rise because of the sudden absence of inventory. The number of multifamily units in the fire zones represent roughly the same number of units that tenants rented in the Los Angeles market in an average year.[4] Now a year's worth of net absorption could be potentially seeking multifamily space elsewhere if the evacuation areas continue to spread and tenants are forced to leave. There is a risk that government steps in and imposes stricter rent control measures in impacted areas. California has already enacted anti-price gouging measures that limit rent increases to 10%, but the potential for more onerous rules bear watching.
Massive Rebuild
When the last embers of the Los Angeles fires extinguish, the metropolitan area will embark on an unprecedented rebuilding effort. The significant volume of site clearing required following the full containment of both fires will mark a momentous first step in the recovery process. Construction-related complications are likely to extend well beyond 2025, as the timeline for rebuilding after a major natural disaster can be lengthy. The total economic cost of the fires is likely to move higher as containment levels remain low and rebuilding efforts are expected to take many years. The financial burden of reconstruction will likely be shared among local and federal governments, insurers, and residents.
Insurance Fallout
Total economic losses include all costs to governments, residents and businesses, some of which will be covered by federal recovery aid. Other analysts have predicted that insured losses for personal property are likely to surpass $30 billion[5] – a tally that will translate to higher rates for Los Angeles commercial property owners and homeowners. As of the third quarter of 2024, the average quarterly insurance premium per apartment in Los Angeles County stood at $288, more than four times the recording from the same period five years prior.[6] Insurance costs only represent roughly 5% of multifamily expenses, but landlords could easily see insurance cost growth well into the double-digit range over the next two to three years.[7] Options for property coverage are also likely to continue to dwindle after seven of California’s top 12 insurers cut coverage in the state over the past four years.[8] Rising premiums and fewer providers will likely influence investment strategies and homebuying activity.
NBC Los Angeles (January 14, 2024).
CoStar News (January 15, 2024).
CBRE-EA (data as of 3Q 2024).
CBRE-EA (data as of 3Q 2024).
Wall Street Journal (January 15, 2025).
Green Street (January 16, 2025).
Green Street (January 16, 2025).
Marcus & Millichap (January 2025).
Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
Diversification neither assures a profit nor guarantee against loss.
For North America:
The brand DWS represents DWS Group GmbH & Co. KGaA and any of its subsidiaries, such as DWS Distributors, Inc., which offers investment products, or DWS Investment Management Americas, Inc. and RREEF America L.L.C., which offer advisory services.
This material was prepared without regard to the specific objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular person who may receive it. It is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, an offer, solicitation, the basis for any contract to purchase or sell any security or other instrument, or for DWS or its affiliates to enter into or arrange any type of transaction as a consequence of any information contained herein. Neither DWS nor any of its affiliates gives any warranty as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of information which is contained in this document. Except insofar as liability under any statute cannot be excluded, no member of the DWS, the Issuer or any office, employee or associate of them accepts any liability (whether arising in contract, in tort or negligence or otherwise) for any error or omission in this document or for any resulting loss or damage whether direct, indirect, consequential or otherwise suffered by the recipient of this document or any other person.
The views expressed in this document constitute DWS Group’s judgment at the time of issue and are subject to change. This document is only for professional investors. This document was prepared without regard to the specific objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular person who may receive it. No further distribution is allowed without prior written consent of the Issuer.
Investments are subject to risk, including market fluctuations, regulatory change, possible delays in repayment and loss of income and principal invested. The value of investments can fall as well as rise and you might not get back the amount originally invested at any point in time.
Real Estate risk: Investing in Real Estate is subject to various risks, including but not limited to the following: Adverse changes in economic conditions including changes in the financial conditions of tenants, buyer and sellers, changes in the availability of debt financing, changes in interest rates, real estate tax rates and other operating expenses; Adverse changes in law and regulation including environmental laws and regulations, zoning laws and other governmental rules and fiscal policies; Environmental claims arising in respect of real estate acquired with undisclosed or unknown environmental problems or as to which inadequate reserves have been established; changes in the relative popularity of property types and locations; risks and operating problems arising out of the presence of certain construction materials; and currency/exchange rate risks where the investments are denominated in a currency other than the investor’s home currency.
An investment in real assets involves a high degree of risk, including possible loss of principal amount invested, and is suitable only for sophisticated investors who can bear such losses. The value of shares/ units and their derived income may fall or rise.
War, terrorism, sanctions, economic uncertainty, trade disputes, public health crises and related geopolitical events have led, and, in the future, may lead to significant disruptions in US and world economies and markets, which may lead to increased market volatility and may have significant adverse effects on the fund and its investments.
For Investors in Canada. No securities commission or similar authority in Canada has reviewed or in any way passed upon this document or the merits of the securities described herein and any representation to the contrary is an offence. This document is intended for discussion purposes only and does not create any legally binding obligations on the part of DWS Group. Without limitation, this document does not constitute an offer, an invitation to offer or a recommendation to enter into any transaction. When making an investment decision, you should rely solely on the final documentation relating to the transaction you are considering, and not the document contained herein. DWS Group is not acting as your financial adviser or in any other fiduciary capacity with respect to any transaction presented to you. Any transaction(s) or products(s) mentioned herein may not be appropriate for all investors and before entering into any transaction you should take steps to ensure that you fully understand such transaction(s) and have made an independent assessment of the appropriateness of the transaction(s) in the light of your own objectives and circumstances, including the possible risks and benefits of entering into such transaction. You should also consider seeking advice from your own advisers in making this assessment. If you decide to enter into a transaction with DWS Group, you do so in reliance on your own judgment. The information contained in this document is based on material we believe to be reliable; however, we do not represent that it is accurate, current, complete, or error free. Assumptions, estimates, and opinions contained in this document constitute our judgment as of the date of the document and are subject to change without notice. Any projections are based on a number of assumptions as to market conditions and there can be no guarantee that any projected results will be achieved. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. The distribution of this document and availability of these products and services in certain jurisdictions may be restricted by law. You may not distribute this document, in whole or in part, without our express written permission.
Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
Diversification neither assures a profit nor guarantee against loss.
For North America:
The brand DWS represents DWS Group GmbH & Co. KGaA and any of its subsidiaries, such as DWS Distributors, Inc., which offers investment products, or DWS Investment Management Americas, Inc. and RREEF America L.L.C., which offer advisory services.
This material was prepared without regard to the specific objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular person who may receive it. It is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, an offer, solicitation, the basis for any contract to purchase or sell any security or other instrument, or for DWS or its affiliates to enter into or arrange any type of transaction as a consequence of any information contained herein. Neither DWS nor any of its affiliates gives any warranty as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of information which is contained in this document. Except insofar as liability under any statute cannot be excluded, no member of the DWS, the Issuer or any office, employee or associate of them accepts any liability (whether arising in contract, in tort or negligence or otherwise) for any error or omission in this document or for any resulting loss or damage whether direct, indirect, consequential or otherwise suffered by the recipient of this document or any other person.
The views expressed in this document constitute DWS Group’s judgment at the time of issue and are subject to change. This document is only for professional investors. This document was prepared without regard to the specific objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular person who may receive it. No further distribution is allowed without prior written consent of the Issuer.
Investments are subject to risk, including market fluctuations, regulatory change, possible delays in repayment and loss of income and principal invested. The value of investments can fall as well as rise and you might not get back the amount originally invested at any point in time.
Real Estate risk: Investing in Real Estate is subject to various risks, including but not limited to the following: Adverse changes in economic conditions including changes in the financial conditions of tenants, buyer and sellers, changes in the availability of debt financing, changes in interest rates, real estate tax rates and other operating expenses; Adverse changes in law and regulation including environmental laws and regulations, zoning laws and other governmental rules and fiscal policies; Environmental claims arising in respect of real estate acquired with undisclosed or unknown environmental problems or as to which inadequate reserves have been established; changes in the relative popularity of property types and locations; risks and operating problems arising out of the presence of certain construction materials; and currency/exchange rate risks where the investments are denominated in a currency other than the investor’s home currency.
An investment in real assets involves a high degree of risk, including possible loss of principal amount invested, and is suitable only for sophisticated investors who can bear such losses. The value of shares/ units and their derived income may fall or rise.
War, terrorism, sanctions, economic uncertainty, trade disputes, public health crises and related geopolitical events have led, and, in the future, may lead to significant disruptions in US and world economies and markets, which may lead to increased market volatility and may have significant adverse effects on the fund and its investments.
For Investors in Canada. No securities commission or similar authority in Canada has reviewed or in any way passed upon this document or the merits of the securities described herein and any representation to the contrary is an offence. This document is intended for discussion purposes only and does not create any legally binding obligations on the part of DWS Group. Without limitation, this document does not constitute an offer, an invitation to offer or a recommendation to enter into any transaction. When making an investment decision, you should rely solely on the final documentation relating to the transaction you are considering, and not the document contained herein. DWS Group is not acting as your financial adviser or in any other fiduciary capacity with respect to any transaction presented to you. Any transaction(s) or products(s) mentioned herein may not be appropriate for all investors and before entering into any transaction you should take steps to ensure that you fully understand such transaction(s) and have made an independent assessment of the appropriateness of the transaction(s) in the light of your own objectives and circumstances, including the possible risks and benefits of entering into such transaction. You should also consider seeking advice from your own advisers in making this assessment. If you decide to enter into a transaction with DWS Group, you do so in reliance on your own judgment. The information contained in this document is based on material we believe to be reliable; however, we do not represent that it is accurate, current, complete, or error free. Assumptions, estimates, and opinions contained in this document constitute our judgment as of the date of the document and are subject to change without notice. Any projections are based on a number of assumptions as to market conditions and there can be no guarantee that any projected results will be achieved. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. The distribution of this document and availability of these products and services in certain jurisdictions may be restricted by law. You may not distribute this document, in whole or in part, without our express written permission.
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War, terrorism, sanctions, economic uncertainty, trade disputes, public health crises and related geopolitical events have led and, in the future, may lead to significant disruptions in US and world economies and markets, which may lead to increased market volatility and may have significant adverse effects on the fund and its investment.
Obtain a prospectus
Carefully consider the fund's investment objectives, risk factors, charges and expenses before investing. This and other information can be found in the fund's prospectus. To obtain a mutual fund summary prospectus, if available, or prospectus, call (800) 728-3337 or download one here. To obtain an ETF prospectus call (844) 851-4255 or download one here. To obtain the RREEF Property Trust prospectus, download one here. Read the prospectus carefully before investing.
Investing involves risk including loss of principal. Stocks may decline in value. Bond investments are subject to interest-rate, credit, liquidity, and market risks to varying degrees. When interest rates rise, bond prices generally fall. You cannot invest directly in an index. Credit risk refers to the ability of an issuer to make timely payments of principal and interest. Investing in derivatives entails special risks relating to liquidity, leverage and credit that may reduce returns and/or increase volatility. Foreign investing involves greater and different risks than investing in US companies, including currency fluctuations, less liquidity, less developed or less efficient trading markets, lack of comprehensive company information, political instability and differing auditing and legal standards. Emerging markets tend to be more volatile and less liquid than the markets of more mature economies, and generally have less diverse and less mature economic structures and less stable political systems than those of developed countries. Funds investing in a single industry, country or in a limited geographic region generally are more volatile than more diversified funds. Performance of a fund may diverge from that of an underlying index due to operating expenses, transaction costs, cash flows, use of sampling strategies or operational inefficiencies. There are additional risks associated with investing in high-yield bonds, aggressive growth stocks, non-diversified/concentrated funds and small- and mid-cap stocks which are more fully explained in the prospectuses, as applicable. An investment in any fund should be considered only as a supplement to a complete investment program for those investors willing to accept the risks associated with that fund. Please read the applicable prospectus for more information.
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War, terrorism, sanctions, economic uncertainty, trade disputes, public health crises and related geopolitical events have led and, in the future, may lead to significant disruptions in US and world economies and markets, which may lead to increased market volatility and may have significant adverse effects on the fund and its investments.
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To obtain a summary prospectus, if available, or prospectus, for Institutional money market funds distributed by DWS Distributors, Inc., download one now or call Institutional Investor Services at (800) 730-1313, Monday through Friday, 8:30 am to 6:00 pm ET. We advise you to carefully consider the product's objectives, risks, charges and expenses before investing. The summary prospectus and prospectus contain this information and other important information about the investment product, including management fees and expenses. Please read the prospectus carefully before you invest or send money.
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R-070495-4 (7/25)
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